I hate posting two Sarah Palin articles in one day, but this was just too good to pass up.
One day after word came that Sarah Palin is joining FoxNews, Ireland's biggest bookie reports that nearly half of bettors doubt the ex-Alaska governor can keep the gig a year.
Calling her "gaffe-prone," bookmaker PaddyPower.com adds that the minority group she's most likely to offend first is gays/lesbians/bisexuals (4-1), followed by African Americans and Muslims (both at 6-1).
Least likely to bear the initial insult: the Irish, the infirm and Inuits (all tied at 20-1), and Jehovah's Witnesses (25-1).
The "gotcha media" was not listed.
Not a minority, many might say.
And yet in the sweepstakes to be the next GOP presidential nominee, the Palin was tied for third - with Newt Gingrich - in the bookie's odds at 5-1. She trails only ex-Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (3-1) and Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour (4-1).
Strangely, included on that list were "Bill First" - is that for Bill Frist, the physician/ex-senator from Tennessee? - and California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, who, being foreign born, is constitutionally ineligible.
Pundits must ponder, right?
OK, well, observers... and uh, commentators... might conclude... what exactly?
That we can set odds of our own!
How's this? Such oddsmaking proves that...
4/5: People will bet on anything - even which cornflake floats first to the side of a bowl.
7/3: Tina Fey's Palin-yuckfest conspiracy has gone global.
1/2: Celebrities generate publicity even for Irish bookies.
"We did in fact offer a number of betting markets on Tiger Woods, the most popular of which was the value of the potential Woods divorce settlement," said Ken Robertson, Paddy Power spokesman.
The online novelty bets include next volcano to erupt (Japan's Mount Unzen leads), next James Bond (Sam Worthington), and which woman FHM will chose as sexiest (Cheryl Cole).
Palin's not on that lastt list, but she is a 50-1 longshot to replace Simon Cowell an American Idol judge - well back of Piers Morgan (3-1), P. Diddy (4-1) and Baby Face (5-1) - on another Paddy Power proposition.
Nor is she mentioned as a possible next pope, although Bono of U2 is.
FoxNews announced yesterday that Palin signed "a multi-year deal to offer her political commentary and analysis across all Fox News platforms, including Fox Business Channel, FoxNews.com and Fox News Radio."
Overwhelmingly, bettors do expect Palin to last longer than Jay Leno's 10 p.m. experiment - but are about evenly split about whether she'll remain "fair and balanced" in 2011, according to Paddy Power.
The odds of splitsville:
8/1: Before Sept. 1, 2010.
10/11: Between Sept. 1, 2010, and Dec. 31, 2010.
11/10: After Jan. 1, 2010.
The other minority groups she might offend first: single parents (8-1), seniors or the poor (10-1), Arab Americans (12-1), Jews (14-1), Native Americans or third world countries (both 16-1) and Christians (18-1).
Environmentalists, deadbeat dads, and Democrats did not make the list.
The Palin-Fox bets are at www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/o